Best Animated Short


Last Updated: February 24, 2017
FINAL WINNER PREDICTIONS

OFFICIAL PREDICTIONS


Will win:
1) PIPER

Could win:
2) PEAR CIDER AND CIGARETTES

Could surprise:
3) PEARL

Other nominees:
4) BORROWED TIME
5) BLIND VAYSHA

COMMENTARY


The time has never been more ripe for Pixar to make a comeback in this category, where, despite their success in the animated feature category, they have not won since 2002's "For the Birds." "Piper" looks like it fits the bill, but if it falls short like "Day & Night" and "Presto," then "Pear Cider and Cigarettes," as perhaps the most unique of the five nominees, seems poised for an upset. I can also see Google's "Pearl" possibly win, if the hubbub over the virtual reality nature of the short is more interesting than it is distracting for voters.

"Borrowed Time," my personal favorite of the five and a very active player on the festival circuit, doesn't seem to be gaining much traction, unfortunately. And "Blind Vaysha," for all its merits, feels like it may be too abstract for many voters. However, this category has surprised us in the past, so perhaps it may surprise us again.


Read more:
Analysis: Animation at the 2017 Academy Awards
An in-depth analysis of the Oscars' animation categories.


CHECK OUT THE OTHER OSCAR PREDICTIONS


2 comments:

  1. If you say Sanjay will win this needs to be trolled ;)

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    Replies
    1. I've been correct so far in predicting "Sanjay's Super Team" getting shortlisted and then nominated, despite it following three consecutive Oscar misses for Pixar's "The Blue Umbrella", "Party Central" and "Lava" - and now that voting is switching from the animation branch to the entire Academy membership, the biases and preferences of the animation branch will be less applicable. However, as you can see in my commentary, I'm not fully confident in my prediction for Sanjay making it to the end - only question is, if not Sanjay, then who else? I'm tempted to switch it up and go for World of Tomorrow since that just bested Sanjay at the Annies, but the Annies haven't been too reliable in predicting the Oscars and WOT might be too unconventional. However if you would like to make the case for another nominee I'd be open to hearing it, but (for now) I'm going with Sanjay because it made it this far already and it's a great default choice/safe bet if we don't have a fully fledged frontrunner (or two, like last year's Feast vs The Dam Keeper narrative).

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